The Rally was the Real Deal - Cramer's Mad Money (9/2/08)
Stocks discussed in the in-depth session of Jim Cramer’s Mad Money TV program, Tuesday, September 2.
“The rally this morning was the real deal,” Jim Cramer told viewers. He said that market expectations have turned too negative and when companies report their earnings they should blow away those estimates. Cramer said he was buying into today's afternoon selloff for his charitable trust and said now is the time to start building positions. Cramer told viewers not to pay any attention to the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which traded as high as 230 points before closing down 26.63 points today. Instead he said they should concentrate on the KBW Bank Index and Philadelphia Housing Sector Index, which he says are the real indicators of where the market is headed. He said the markets will not see a meaningful rally with the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index in free fall. “The markets need home prices to stabilize,” he said. Cramer reiterated his views that the markets will not re-test the lows of July 15, noting his prediction of a bottom in the housing market is now just 302 days away. He said a market rally will likely precede that bottom.
Cramer cited several reasons why he feels a market rally is on the horizon.
There will be an uptick in consumer spending when gasoline hits just $3 a gallon.
The Federal Reserve won't raise interest rates as long as commodity prices continue to fall.
Any companies who raised prices due to higher commodity costs will now reap the rewards as those commodities begin to recede in price.
Cramer told viewers not to wait until next year to start buyer, as a recent Wall Street Journal article suggested, but rather to start buying now ahead of the positive news that's on its way.
The Future of Natural Gas - Clean Energy (CLNE)
Cramer talked with Clean Energy president and CEO Andrew Littlefair about his company's outlook as interest in natural gas as an alternative fuel heats up ahead of the November elections. Littlefair said that passage of Proposition 10, a California ballot initiative, will devote $3 billion to alternative fuels, signaling a boon for not only his company, but also for the entire alternative fuel industry. He said that this one initiative alone could displace as much as 1.5 billion gallons of gasoline and diesel fuel a year. Littlefair said that while he sees ethanol as an important step towards alternative fuels, only natural gas in its liquified or compressed forms, can deliver the big numbers needed to reduce the country's need for foreign oil. When asked about the current political environment for natural gas, Littlefair said that for many years politicians felt the U.S. was running out of the commodity. But now, with many recent large gas discoveries, that is just not the case, he said. Comparing apples to apples, Littlefair said natural gas currently retails for just $2.60 to $2.70 a gallon as opposed to $4 a gallon for gas. But despite this significant cost reduction, he feels it will be the heavy trucks and large fleets that will convert first, with consumer autos following suit. Cramer told viewers it makes sense to invest in Clean Energy if they believe as he does that natural gas is the wave of the future.
Media Overkill - Schering-Plough (SGP)
Cramer said he's reluctantly giving the boot to drug maker Schering-Plough, a stock which he owned for his charitable trust, but not for the reasons investors might think. While Cramer admitted that the company's anti-cholesterol drug Vytorin does have problems, he said it's the onslaught of press coverage that's made the stock 'radioactive' and one that needs to be avoided. According to Cramer, the press coverage on Vytorin has been worse than the side effects of drug itself. At last count, he said, one reporter alone at the New York Times has written 10 negative articles so far this year. Cramer said he now feels the Food and Drug Administration will likely bow to public pressure and ban the drug. Cramer said he's not afraid to be under fire, or to stick his neck out against prevailing opinions. In the case of Schering, though, the stock has just become 'radioactive' and can't be touched until a decision by FDA on Vytorin has finally been made, he said.
In this segment, Cramer told a viewer that he's tempted to start a position in Corning. “I looked at it under $20 today, and I was shocked that it was down there. They have tremendous exposure to big-screen TVs, to glass and obviously people think there’s a worldwide slowdown. I think the stock’s overdone to the downside. Also, they have that great fiber business that Verizon’s using. I don’t know. Do I want to start a position in it now? Kind of tempting, frankly…”
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This article has 9 comments:
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GKM
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173 Comments
Sep 03 12:20 AM-
Britishsteel
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132 Comments
Sep 03 03:40 AM-
user 2lakes
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Sep 03 08:39 AM-
venividivici
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309 Comments
Sep 03 11:04 AM-
cambio2008
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7 Comments
Sep 03 01:32 PMthis sucker rally ate him alive and he knows it.....i'm buying puts on his entertainment career because when this recession sinks its bear claws into the soul of this economy in the coming months, he will be out of the media business.... even the media will get tired of his YACK, YACK, YACK...............
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basehitz
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41 Comments
Sep 03 02:03 PM-
Britishsteel
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132 Comments
Sep 04 08:24 PM-
Michael Zhuang
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My Website
Sep 05 11:26 AM-
cos1000
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Sep 07 11:22 AM