john haskell

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  • Ruth's Chris Steak House: Wide Open to a Hostile Bid
    comment above just strengthens the case for new management. if you run a steak house and don't want to buy good meat you really don't have any business being in business.
    Feb 26 14:37 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Capitalize on Water Shortages With Grain ETFs
    Amen, brother! 1000 tons minimum of water are required to grow 1 ton of wheat. Water "long" countries such as Brazil and Russia will prosper at the expense of water "short" India and China.
    Feb 26 14:34 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Morningstar on Munis: What Kind of Credit Crisis Is This?
    Nothing in this long rambling article does anything to disprove Morningstar's assertion that the state of VA will have sufficient funds to service or refinance debt maturing in 2018.

    You are correct to point out that there are some other companies on Planet Earth- such as MBIA, UBS, various Zimbabwean retailers, etc., that have financial problems, but Morningstar didn't have anything to say about them.
    Feb 26 14:32 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Thoughts on Ambac Bailout, MBIA, Berkshire's Muni Bond Backing
    every time someone tries to point out that the monolines are teetering, he has to put up with all this "talking your book" BS.

    It's as if Churchill, after warning the British people about Hitler for 8 years, and after watching the Germans sweep across France, had to listen to the Chamberlain supporters moan, "yeah, but you are just talking your book."

    Let someone explain to me how a reinsurer can simultaneously be rated Aa3 and have its equity be worthless. Until those are reconciled, I recommend that the "talking your book" fools keep silent.
    Feb 25 09:17 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • For Some Economists, The Maestro Can Do No Wrong
    Tim, you are trying to scan Lawrence Yun's comments for sense.

    But he is Chief Econ of the NAR and it is in his job description: "Your comments on the housing situation and the economy at large must not scan for sense. You must in all cases assume your conclusions and in any communication tell listeners that "now is a great time to buy a house," whether that has any bearing or not on the facts presented."

    Furthermore, Greenie was the best friend the Realtor ever had. Sure, a lot of them are going to have to transition back to pottery class, tennis lessons or whatever it was they were doing before they decided to get out of the house. But it was great while it lasted and they'd rather not hear Uncle Al the Gambler's Pal criticized.
    Feb 22 16:48 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Ackman's Plan for Bond Insurers Is the Best So Far
    management simultaneously claims their structured finance losses will be small, while maintaining that Ackman's proposal is self interested and unacceptable. That's all you need to know- especially if you are an Ambac or MBIA shareholder.
    Feb 22 16:45 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Ackman's Plan for Bond Insurers - Talking His Own Book
    hmmm, well then let the insurers sell their muni books to Buffett for 150% of the total future premium income...wait, that proposal was made by someone who had an interest in the outcome, so should be ignored.

    Here's another proposal- lend/invest billions to the insurers because this current market trouble is just temporary and will blow over soon (in the estimate of the CEO-of-the-day at Ambac). Oh wait- that proposal is also tainted by self interest.

    OK then here's a third- Eric Dinallo suggests the monolines just fraudulently transfer assets out of the insurance subs to make sure there are funds to cover the muni bonds. I wonder if he might be interested in the outcome here?

    All I'm asking for, is for someone to spend a huge amount of effort on structuring a solution to this problem despite his having absolutely no interest in what that outcome might be.
    Feb 22 16:37 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Does Anybody Care That Wheat Surpassed $10 A Bushel?
    come again on the "very favorable weather conditions" in Australia? Very favorable for the formation of dust bowls? What about the favorable conditions in China- for freezing their winter wheat crop, that is.

    As you point out, the cost of wheat is a small portion of the cost of food products so don't look for any demand response to higher prices. Maybe we can persuade the Chinese to all go back to eating domestically produced rice so that prices will go down in the US.
    Feb 08 18:01 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Cellulosic Ethanol: The Next Biofuel Boom?
    no one is producing cellulosic ethanol, so fatuous comments about what it "costs" or its "energy balance" are nonsense. It could be available by 2015. Hydrogen fusion could also be available by 2015- or, while we're discussing science fiction, cannibalistic robots could take over Earth and we wouldn't have to worry about it.
    Feb 05 17:01 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Financial Bottom Called: Timing Is Everything!
    so LUK is buying shares of AmerCredit... so what? Wilbur Ross is not going to buy Ambac and Buffett has come to bury MBIA, not to praise it. Re-do your analysis.
    Feb 05 16:56 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • What the Housing 'Apocalypse' Prophets Aren't Revealing
    In many markets it still costs more to own than to rent. in Manhattan the ratio is approximately 2:1. Without the conviction that renting is "throwing money away" and owning is a sure-fire ticket to riches, the demand for purchases falls, and house prices with it. Why should the rent/own ratio be so far out of whack? The collapse in house prices is based on sound fundamentals.
    Feb 05 11:04 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Impact of Bad Weather May Spread to China Organic Agriculture
    there isn't "widespread concern" in Japan. Japanese are being straight-up poisoned by pesticide-contaminated dumplings from China.
    Feb 03 18:15 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • MBIA: Triumph of the Technocrats?
    The CEO also said that they had plenty of capital to maintain their AAA rating. Which is just a flat out lie, as the agencies (reminder: the CEO doesn't set MBIA's rating himself, the agencies do) have unanimously said that MBIA needs to raise more capital to maintain their ratings. Proven liar for CEO- sounds bullish to me!
    Feb 01 11:33 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • The 20 Largest Trading Losses in History
    supposedly this blog post was a list of trading losses, but when you add LTCM, Drexel and Peregrine, a better title would have been "bad things that people were unhappy about." LTCM's and Peregrine's losses were in no way unauthorized, they were just mistakes, and the causes of Drexel's collapse were rather complex and certainly not due to a single trader.
    Jan 28 09:19 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • Marty Whitman on MBIA, Radian
    I guess when Whitman says the companies are "extremely well managed" he does not have in mind MBIA's habit of concealing material adverse information from the market?

    Also what "extremely well managed" company departs from its tried and true, highly profitable business of insuring munis, which almost never default, for the completely untried business of insuring CDO squareds?

    Even if these CDOs weren't blowing up, the simple fact that they "diworsified"... into a business they knew nothing about says all I need to know about this "excellent management."
    Jan 28 09:14 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article

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