johnthebear

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  • ProShares ETFs: Why Volume Trading Makes a Difference
    John the bear wrote on June 28:

    I am amazed that there is a way to get a 2:1 ratio against an index, and I admit to investing without knowing all the facts.

    I would appreciate it if you could explain how the process works so that I will have greater confidence in the future as my profit keeps expanding my holdings.

    Please try to find an answer for me.

    Have you asked ProShares to explain it to you?
    Jun 30 18:41 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • ProShares ETFs: Why Volume Trading Makes a Difference
    I invest in ultra short FXP (China) and SRS (Dow Jones RE index) and have done very well with both. Trades have executed quickly and I chart each in Yahoo and include the FXI and IYR to compare trends as to which is moving up faster.

    I am amazed that there is a way to get a 2:1 ratio against an index, and I admit to investing without knowing all the facts.

    I would appreciate it if you could explain how the process works so that I will have greater confidence in the future as my profit keeps expanding my holdings.

    I appreciate ProShares and the opportunity they have provided to the small investor.
    Jun 28 09:02 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • The Global Recession's Here: How to Profit from It
    The FED is just now saying out loud that we are in a recession, and have begun to say the nasty words "prolonged" recession! Have you ever heard them use that terminology before? I haven't!

    They are trying so hard to spare our feelings and wanting us to know the grim truth. Not since the great depression has there been a time of World-Wide slowdown of all the world indexes at the same time (except South America), all trading below their 200 day moving average.

    Both PE and earnings can fall in a long..."prolonged recession," one that might last 5 years to bottom and 5 years to recover to the present level. I say that because with the expected $1 trillion dollar loss of capital by the worlds banking system, there will be insufficient capital going forward to finance homes, business and commercial real estate to do anything more than just limp along, year after year. It will take a long time to recover that lost investment capital... and much longer still to recover the $6 trillion already lost by the stock markets all over the world. That stock-wealth is no longer available to be sold to invests in wealth production or to prop up liberal government with high taxes, etc. as we will soon have with the liberal democrats taking the congress and white house. Sound like we are going back to 90% tax rates to sustain our present appetite for social programs. It will be very hard to cut budgets of national/state/local as well as personal budgets back to the point that we spend what we have, rather than what we can borrow. This truly is a crisis.

    I am ultra short SRS and FXP. I am playing these like a cash register, they go up and down in short sharp swings which can be very profitable. I look for SRS to rise sharply after the REIT earnings are announced, the first week of May.
    Apr 10 18:49 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • How Now, Charles Dow?
    ponchovillam,

    That was a very good comparison, and so true. I think we are in deep voodoo!

    Now it not just a recession" we are in...now they are talking "prolonged recession". What a difference a day makes with the crazy markets these days. UP one day and Down the next, for no real reason. I guess there are a lot of folks with money burning a hole in their pockets and they just don't know what to do? It is my opinion that you should either be short or put your money in a bank with 100,000 government insurance for each deposit. Now is not the time to worry about getting high yields. On the other hand, there is one stock I would recommend. Check out TNH, the only long position I like.
    Apr 10 15:35 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article
  • How Now, Charles Dow?
    The DJT has a break out above it's 200 day moving average, but I find that inconclusive for the dow theory when matching up with DJI.

    Everyone knows the cost of fuel has increased, making trucking very expensive compared with rail, and the index follows the rails. So, how reliable can a theory be that relies on such a distorted indicator? The rails are truly important for measuring industrial activity, but to compare it with current trends does not seem reliable. Please give me your thoughts.
    Apr 08 21:32 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment |View article

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