jcrash

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257 Comments

    • Fri Oct 24th 12:14 PM
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      Commented on:
      So Far, Restrained Carnage
      I think we can all say that the ppt was a figment of someone's imagination.
      View article »
    • Fri Oct 24th 12:12 PM
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      Commented on:
      $2.58 and Counting
      Guess what, if I go into my Grocery store, the price on Cereal, Milk, OJ, Bread, donuts, fruit, pop, etc is all higher than it was 12 months ago. So, graph what you will, but I might suggest a cart of groceries is a bit more precise.
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    • Thu Oct 23rd 20:03 PM
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      Commented on:
      Duke Cuts Plan to Install Solar Panels by Half
      I think $4 a month is affordable for your average industrial user.

      Shame on them for taking issue with it.
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    • Thu Oct 23rd 11:49 AM
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      Commented on:
      Amazon: Was That Its Bottom?
      No.
      View article »
    • Sat Oct 18th 08:27 AM
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      Commented on:
      Charts of the Day: Gold, and Baltic Dry Index
      Well, the stock market is the true forward looking indicator.

      So, look at GDX. Lower than it has been in a long, long time. Gold is going down. You want a trade? Long oil, short gold. They are both headed down, but if you figure oil bottoms at 50 or so, gold is definitely going down more - which puts it easily under 700.
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    • Fri Oct 17th 20:16 PM
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      Commented on:
      Gold Approaches Record
      Hmm Short gold long miners?
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    • Wed Oct 15th 23:37 PM
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      Commented on:
      Countdown of Manipulated Gold Price Running Out
      "Unfortunately, it is a paper market which is very vulnerable for manipulation and it does not reflect the real market which takes place in physical supply and demand."

      When it was oil, everyone said, "Futures cannot be manipulated." Now that it is obvious that was hogwash, everyone jumps on the bandwagon.
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    • Wed Oct 15th 15:01 PM
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      Commented on:
      Petrohawk: A Play on Appreciating Natural Gas Prices
      Is it "cheap" yet? :P
      View article »
    • Mon Oct 13th 09:40 AM
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      Commented on:
      Bullion Shortage and Spot Prices Tell Two Different Gold Stories
      because people saw the huge bounce coming in equities?
      View article »
    • Mon Oct 13th 09:35 AM
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      Commented on:
      The Next Bubble?
      because people see the huge bounce coming in equities?
      View article »
    • Sat Oct 11th 19:54 PM
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      Commented on:
      Decades of Negative Returns: A Long-Term Look at the Dow
      I love how people dis the democrats when they have the best record for stock returns.

      This selloff has nothing to do with the next president. It has to do with the last 8 or so not taking care of business at home before they goofed off on their partisan war mongering ways.
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    • Fri Oct 10th 20:11 PM
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      Commented on:
      This Isn't a Bottom, It's a Disturbance in The Force
      Well, we cannot have a bottom without plenty of people saying we aren't there yet and others saying that it is all going to zero or some such nonsensical number.

      Just as the call for $250 oil was a good time to sell, the calls of the coming apocalypse are a good time to buy. Sure no need to go all in if you want. Me, I plan to go down swinging. No sense sitting out the last fight, if that's what it is.

      When things hit P:E of 1 (as some have) or a .25 price to sales ratio as others have, I think it is ok to start buying some things.
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    • Fri Oct 10th 09:51 AM
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      Commented on:
      Ten Oklahoma Stocks
      You might add that companies get accelerated depreciation on lands that were formerly indian lands.
      View article »
    • Wed Oct 8th 23:14 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Crazy P/E Ratios
      Zoeey and tcal - Schillers data shows currently we are about at 15 or 16 based on 10 yr average earnings.

      Overcorrections to single digits as you propose do no happen in every downturn and actually only happen about 3 times in the last 90 years. One of those was the decade of inflation, one was the WWII era, and one was briefly during the depression.

      However, the greater macro trend you are ignoring is the greater participation in the stock markets. More capital chasing the same earnings means higher P/E's. So, if we get to single digits, I'd be more than shocked.

      Technically, 8000 on the Dow and 850 or so on the S&P looks pretty impenetrable.

      Boomers are committed at this point, if they take it out now, they are pretty much sure to miss the start up and then pile in to create one hell of a bounce. If they stay in, they will be committed to adding even more at these levels.

      Additionally, recent tax changes have created a large demand in college savings accounts. Those monies are relatively new and will continue to grow with acceptance. Finally, while you might think foreigners would desert us, the truth is that their is no substitute - no country with a better combination of innovation/security and size. This is quite in evidence this week with the turn in the Euro and the European banks.

      We will print up as much as it takes to keep the boat afloat and folks will buy it and be glad their money is safe in times like this. They cannot leave us in the bad times - they will have to wait and try it in the good times.
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    • Wed Oct 8th 22:30 PM
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      Commented on:
      The Cramer Crash?
      Anyone think that maybe he said it to at least contribute a little to the bottoming.
      View article »