jcrash

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257 Comments

    • Tue Jul 8th 13:13 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Microsoft Crosses a Line
      Fool me once...

      MSFT has no other choice at this point but to use a heavy hand, to do otherwise would be to risk real embarassment.
      View article »
    • Thu Jul 3rd 16:33 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Petrohawk and Chesapeake Fly on Haynesville Shale News
      I'd love to hear the reasoning behind valuing HK at $10 billion, or roughly $40 milllion per employee. While CHK is at about 4% of that.
      View article »
    • Wed Jul 2nd 15:45 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Hey, Congress, Speculators May Not Be the Bad Guys
      Maximax, production costs are not the focus. If people stop buying, the price will go down, period. Then, producers will pay less to drillers, suppliers, etc. Then they will lay off people, and be hard up for work, just like all the other boom times.

      Oil is boom/bust. I live in oklahoma, I've seen it. Currently, drillers have gone from bored to overworked in the span of a few short years. The demand of oil has not changed enough to justify that change in activity, what HAS changed is the price. It is more profitable now to produce oil. So, more wells come online and more oil is produced. Higher prices means MORE production and LESS consumption. At some point, when all the ships holds are full and all the storage is full, and producers have no where else to put it, the price will come down.

      Is there ANYWHERE in ANY country with a scarcity of gasoline? Nope. Prices have come up. People will adjust consumption (DOWN). Period. People will adjust production (UP). Period. Neither is immediate, but both are inevitable results of the situation.
      View article »
    • Tue Jul 1st 21:35 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Hey, Congress, Speculators May Not Be the Bad Guys
      Speedy, all these peak oil people have no demand destruction in their nice little parabolic worlds.

      The truth is otherwise, and you will see it develop over the next 18 to 24 months. Then oil will be back down under $75/bbl.
      View article »
    • Tue Jul 1st 17:01 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Hey, Congress, Speculators May Not Be the Bad Guys
      bds also makes an excellent point, your graph would go from bottom left to upper right if you graphed the value of the open contracts, if you then take into account the amount of margin required (it having increased), the margin requirements graphs would look even steeper.
      View article »
    • Tue Jul 1st 16:58 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Hey, Congress, Speculators May Not Be the Bad Guys
      I think your data is lacking some crucial datapoints.
      View article »
    • Wed Jun 25th 13:01 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Petrohawk: A Play on Appreciating Natural Gas Prices
      Wellhead price <> Futures Price
      View article »
    • Wed Jun 25th 10:43 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Petrohawk: A Play on Appreciating Natural Gas Prices
      maybe $15 stock - by 2010...if it is lucky.
      View article »
    • Thu Jun 19th 15:29 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Oil's Supply and Demand
      You are hopelessly naive if you think that US demand is going to increase at a linear rate with the past given the current prices. Look back to the late 1980's to see what happens to demand when the price spikes. US demand in two years will probably be 15 to 20% LOWER than where it is today.
      View article »
    • Thu Jun 19th 14:29 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Offshore U.S. Drilling Proposals Bullish for National-Oilwell Varco
      Longoil,
      15 or 20 bbls? I don't think that will fill up 1 house in the ghetto for the winter.
      View article »
    • Thu Jun 19th 09:51 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Oil's Supply and Demand
      Supply demand imbalance does not explain Nat Gas's rise. We are coming off the highest gas storage levels on record last year.

      It is all a game. When the music stops, don't be caught without a chair or you might be OUT.
      View article »
    • Wed Jun 18th 16:39 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Hyperinflation, Here We Come
      You can't have inflation like that without wage pressure. Currently, wage pressure is nil.
      View article »
    • Wed Jun 18th 12:39 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Apple: My Q3 Earnings Estimates
      I'll guess $1.35
      View article »
    • Wed Jun 18th 12:17 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      How Does India's Energy Consumption Compare to China's?
      Who is this "we"?
      View article »
    • Wed Jun 18th 12:01 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      10 Notes on Residential Housing
      Tulsa is doing fine. Thankfully, but since I'm not selling my home any time soon, I really don't care.
      View article »