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daffy's Comments Stream Stats
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- Wall Street Breakfast -Sample
Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
- Oil demand withers. The International Energy Agency warned Friday worldwide oil demand...
- The Macro View -SampleSeeking Alpha - The Macro ViewMarket Outlook
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
Oil Price- Oil Below $75: Increased Chance of OPEC Production Cuts by Money Morning
- Oil Down 48% from Highs by Bespoke Investment Group
- Oil & Gas Headed Lower as Economy Strikes Consumers by Michael Filloon
Economy- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
- Round 3 of the Recession: Main Street by Paul Fekula
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Investing Ideas -SampleSeeking Alpha - Investing IdeasCramer's Picks
- Farewell Financial Bear Raids - Cramer's Mad Money (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Better Picks - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
- Perhaps Industrials... Cramer's Stop Trading! (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Long Ideas- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- The Long Case for Encore Capital by Value Investor Insight
- 2009: The Year of the Channel for SaaS Vendors? by Jeff Kaplan
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
- Market Behaves Sanely - Fast Money Recap (10/14/08) by SA Editor Joan Wickham
Short Ideas- Why Short Sellers Are the Heroes of Wall Street by Investment U
- Salesforce.com: Pricey and Coming Down Fast by Charlie Bottle
- Google: 3Q Results Reveal Chinks in the Armor by Mark Krieger
- Jim Cramer's Picks -SampleBetter Choices - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/15/08)by SA Editor Rachael GranbyStocks discussed in the lightning round session of Jim Cramers Mad Money TV program,
Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
Northrop Grumman (NOC) -- You can't own the defense stocks right now. If I had to own one, I'd look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) with its good dividend. - Stocks & Sectors -SampleSeeking Alpha - Stocks & SectorsInternet
- eBay: Q3 Looks Good but Q4 Guidance Disappoints by Greg Feirman
- Is Google Feeling Lucky? by Sam Gustin
- Why Today Could Suck for Tech by Kevin Maney
Media- A Triple Financial Whammy Afflicts Newspapers by Ken Doctor
- Three Years On, Buying MySpace Looks Like One of Murdoch's Smartest Bets by Erick Schonfeld
- How Will Arbitron Fare in This Market? by Sreeni Meka
Telecom- Ten Ways to Invest in Louisiana by Stockerblog
- Earnings Preview: Electro-Optical Engineering by theflyonthewall.com
- Shared Docks Via WiFi All the Rage by Dean Bubley
Financial- Switzerland Strengthens Its Banks; Short Interest Remains Low by Jessica Johnson
- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- LIBOR Shows Worst Is Yet to Come for Credit Markets by Keith Fitz-Gerald
- Global Markets -SampleSeeking Alpha - Global MarketsChina
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- USANA Health Sciences Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Perfect World Announces Share Repurchase Program by Trader Mark
- China: Hot Money Inflows Down, Nervousness Up by Michael Pettis
India- Indian Economy Has Much to Cheer About by Equitymaster
- India: RBI Cuts Cash Reserve Ratio by Equitymaster
- India: Markets Continue Downward by Equitymaster
Japan- Sanyo Enters Thin-Film Market, Goes Up Against Sharp by Greentech Media
Asia- Four International Dividend Stocks to Watch by David Hunkar
Eastern Europe- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Alternative Energy Investing -SampleSeeking Alpha - Alternative EnergyAlternative Energy
- Seven Stocks for an Impending Apocalypse by H.J. Huneycutt
- Solar Shares Under Pressure From Credit Crunch and Pricing by Eric Savitz
- Trina Solar Looks Good, Though Market Yawns by Trader Mark
- The Electric Car Market: Wise Energy Use Stocks by Tom Konrad
- Investing in the Power of the Sea
- ETF Daily -SampleSeeking Alpha - ETF DailySector ETFs
- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
- Two Global Infrastructure Investment Opportunities in ETFs by Investment U
New ETFs- First Trust Launches Infrastructure ETF with Global Reach by Index Universe
- Overview and Analysis of the Global Generic Drug Industry by Mike Havrilla
Emerging Market ETFs- Brazil Is the Best of BRIC by Carl T. Delfeld
- Playing the Market in Difficult Times by Jason Hamlin
- The Daily Dispatch -SampleSeeking Alpha - Daily DispatchWall Street Breakfast
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
US Market- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News by SA Editor Rachael Granby
Housing & Real Estate- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Another 'Root Cause' That Isn't: Tumbling Home Prices by Tim Iacono
Transcripts- TrueBlue, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Polycom, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
ETF- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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Number of U.S. Homes With Negative Equity Is Stunning
I would hope that you would add:
Barney Frank and Chris Dodd for endorsing high loan to value and other practises in Fannie and freddie therefore giving the market par to shoot for. Who was the major purchaser of Country Wide loans? Hmmm.
I wonder
Home loans for all ~ ~ ~
keep the practise going!
Market Skepticism About BofA / Merrill Deal
Hmmm, he is the CEO of BofA. Seriously. If you were half the man that he was, you still would be no where near where he is. SA is continuing to show me that the readers have fallen a few grades to be par with the contributors.
Alternative Buyers for Lehman (and Not Just the Usual Suspects)
Someone actually has a sense of humor!
XOM's R&D will never buffer a buyout though, and to tell you the truth XOM likes geoscientists in management, not MBA's. XOM does a hell of a lot more than buying a few mortgages for our society (that would be like throwing a doallr in the offering plate for them). So all of you who actually take any of this article seriously, try Paxil, you might actually feel better about yourself.
BAC's Ken Lewis Mulls Another Deal as Lehman Reaches Brink
An Involuntary Transaction: Why BAC + CFC May Never Close
seriously, after reading that crap from you, I am sure no one will come back to comment.
Go away.
Under The Radar News - Monday
There are many more where the following comes from:
and you can quote me.
I hope pray and prey that iTechnology becomes byeTechnology.
Apple should be embarrassed, but I figure that they will be following their current "plan" to re-invent everything and sell it to the idiots of the world.
Hitting the Reset Button On Home Mortgages
A good percentage of people who are in danger of foreclosure shouldn't have been in the home in the first place.
I have been on my block for about 5 years now. In the last 8 months there have been 4 foreclosures (I live in Miineapolis). Of those foreclosures, one was a cut to pieces mansion for rental units that I have offered the value of the land minus tear down costs (after foreclosure). It really is that bad. Two of the home are valued higher but are really the least valuable homes on the block (they are like track homes in a neighborhood of turn of the century architecture). The final home is a traditional home symbolic of the neighborhood.
OK, now onto the "owners". The first home was occupied by some young partier who threw outrageous parties with sword fighting and the likes at all hours. Foreclosed, I am sure failure to make payments. The second two were occupied by people who had migrated home to home as renters and were always evicted (either by the city (condemnation) or the landlord). The fourth one was occupied by a couple who took out an arm loan and invested all of thier savings into a restaraunt in 2007. A start up restaraunt.
Ok, if you ask me, the only people who should have been in their home are the restauranteers. The other three occupiers did not belong in the position of having a mortgage to be responsible for. They couldn't even handle a lease for god's sake.
So, as far as I can see, at best 75% of the people in this bad debt situation should have never been there in the first place. So, no we should NOT bail them out. If the government wants to step in, well, let them help the couple who made a mistake in their mortgage choices and the choices of their business start up. At least they were willing to risk what they had to possibly provide a better life for themselves and others as well as provide for a larger tax base.
Seriously folks, you are not going to entrust your Maserati Quattroporte Executive GT to an alcoholic with a BAC of 0.33%. Just the same as you are not going to entrust your retirement porfolio to the homeless guy on the park bench.
Let's stop with the broad sweeping regulatory changes. Pretty soon home ownership will be a right, and the governemnt will be bailing out everyone. Driving is a priviledge, and so IS HOME OWNERSHIP. THESE ARE PRIVILEDGES YOU HAVE TO TAKLE SERIOUSLY AND BE RESPONSIBLE FOR.
Stocks: Risky, But Tempting
If you buy stocks when they're going down, they might be cheap, but they're almost certainly going to get cheaper before they rebound (if they rebound).
If they rebound?
What stocks are you looking at?
Are you telling me that MSFT is going to go down, maybe to 23 and stay there forever? Maybe they might go away altogether. Maybe MSFT will just fold, and everyone who falls under the 267.2B market cap will die.
Come on Felix. Get a grip.
Everybody seems to be focused on the short term gain that they have lost sight of a simple truth. Short-term gain tax-rates jump from 15% to 28% on plays lasting less than a year. Of course that is a simplification, and just a side note. But seriously. I am curious as to how many people are out there, at age 48, are fretting the 10-15% continued downturn that might occur over the next 4-6 months in their IRA. In their IRA. Should I say it again?
I think you made another huge mistake in your article to bring CFC into this picture. Not only is the CFC deal RISKY, it may be downright stupid. CFC is going to drag down BAC with it, and the only spread there is, is the difference between BAC*(0.1822) - CFC which puts the spread at $1.78 on a CFC current price of $4.78. CFC is valued, according to my understanding of the deal, at 6.57 when I did these numbers. You have to be careful there. $7.16 is not the price right now. So, 1.78/4.78 = 37.6% gain on something that might not happen, and if it does might get revamped, and then it will only happen in 3Q 08 . . . maybe. That is why there is such a spread. I am suprised it is not more for the risk.
OK, now that there is clarification on the CFC-BAC deal, I will have to give you credit to your statement which I take as bordering on lunacy. CFC might go away. But MSFT? GRMN? RTP? BAC?
I think you need to reel yourself back in, and maybe try and take the "Death to all Mankind" out of your fear-mongering.
And just to clarify, I am not short term bullish on the market, but over the next two years, you could say that I am moderately bullish.
I think you need to lighten up Felix.
I wish my name was Oscar.
I just would really like to know when all this "sky is falling rhetoic is going to stop". Of course the sea is choppy. Do you really think we don't know that? Who are you talking to? I am still buying in, and will continue to. I could care less what my stocks are going to do in the next month or two, or 5. What goes up, might come down, and what goes down, will usually go up. Look at the DJIA over the last 20 years and you will have no choice but to agree that USUALLY trumps MIGHT every time in the previous statement.
That is for all you math people out there USUALLY > MIGHT. Notice there isn't even an equals sign udner that symbol. Unless of course you are talking about CFC.
Bad example Felix.
Financials and Retail: Not as Dire as They Seem
"give yourself some time for stupid to be finished"
Financials and Retail: Not as Dire as They Seem
Financials? whoa . . . I made a few bucks on the cfc-bac deal. Might make a few more if CFC gets down to four and BAC stays put. Doubt it though, it will have to look pretty darned good. Although, a 3/4 point reduction might just get one a good short term gain on the deal. Timing there. Now might be the time to get into that one, or next week. Other than that, well, I am staying away from financials. Too risky. The only financial I am playing with right now is ETFC (and some might say I am crazy for doing that).
The hypothesis about 02-03 prices is interesting. If you take the 80 month EMA, and find that the stock price is under that AND is under the 2002 share price, you might have a stock that is worth investigating (in financials and retail). BAC falls short by about 5$ on the share price. I would say that is too risky right now. If the price went to $29, yeah, I would buy. This summer isn't going to be very nice to financial stocks, but there will be a few winners, and they will bethe agressive ones.
Opinions and conjecture.
embarassing disclosure: 1% of my portfolio is CFC @ $16.80. OUCH.
Financials Offer Patient Bulls Many Opportunities
With all of the doomsdaying nellies out there, I would say that it is more than factored in.
Prospector -
I am new to the market (investing wise). I could not see a better time to buy into financials. I still see no better time over the next three months. Although I am breaking even on everything right now (which says a lot since I started buying in early November), I see that in the next 8 - 16 months I am going to be very happy I put my money where I thought it should go. I have only fallen once when I chose not to buy ETFC at 2.08. I have had C on a watch for awhile and I will continue to watch. Unfortunately, I still think C has a huge write down coming, or a couple. I am going to wait until the next beating (or two), then buy.
One thing to remember is that we have an election year and the fear mongering in the media is going to be many fold. The economy, in the eyes of the media, is going to be the worst in decades for the time until at least late November, then the party that wins will decide how quickly the market will turn around. If the naysayers win, well, it might be May of 2009 before we see beauty in our current investments. If the yeahsayers win, well, probably beginning right away and a banner Christmas (compared to this last one) will be had, sending confidence through the market. Either way, does it matter? Doubling your money (or even quadrupling it) is no losing game in a few months over a one year investment.
Agreed . . . putting all disposable money into the market when I get it. Oooops, there goes the retail sector.
Cheers