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Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
- Oil demand withers. The International Energy Agency warned Friday worldwide oil demand...
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Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
Northrop Grumman (NOC) -- You can't own the defense stocks right now. If I had to own one, I'd look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) with its good dividend. - Stocks & Sectors -SampleSeeking Alpha - Stocks & SectorsInternet
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Latest Comments3 Comments
Natural Gas Will Stay - Cramer's Lightning Round (7/15/08)
Brother, Who Can Spare Another Dime for Oil?
Real Estate and Leverage: Finding the Right Balance
I say frozen because like politics, all real estate is local. In the Midwest here, the property values did not go down hardly at all and vacancy rates did not rise. Vacancy rates are governed more by the job market in your area than the overall real estate market. Some areas in Michigan lost value over the last 5 years while almost everywhere else real estate values skyrocketed. It all had to do with jobs. No jobs? People move out and values go down. I have never had vacancy rates above 5% in 30 years of investing. That is due to the slow but steady growth in the area that I invest in.
I stopped buying properties for a while in 1980 due to the interest rates but cash flow was able to cover what I already owned. It was at that time I started to invest new money in the stock market. The timing was good and I continued to put money in the market ever since. The stock market and the real estate market do not rise or fall together and it is easier to sell stock for quick cash than sell a property. During the 2000 stock market melt down however, my properties were still holding up and spinning off cash.
I will retire shortly at 55 based on both my real estate and stock investments and the cash flow they throw off. I own REITs but mostly other types of stocks. There is some correlation between REITs and your real estate investments (interest rates for one) but they don’t run in lock step. They may open a landfill next to your apartment complex but it won’t hurt your REIT stock. Look into oil and gas investment trusts if you want the big dividends. You are on the right track. You understand the beauty of real estate investing. Start early and invest like it's important to you. Make your own future.
My advice is to look at the amount of risk you are willing to take. If you can't take any, put everything in a passbook savings account or bonds but be prepared to work till you are 65 and worry about what the government is going to do about Social Security. Most advice like Lloyd’s will be on the conservative side. While anything can happen, what is the likelihood that it will? That is managing risk.
You need to prepare only for the things that are most likely to happen, not what can happen. Look at your lifestyle, your income and your investments. Make a “what if” plan for real problems that may come up. Some you may need to take action (insurance, will, savings etc.) and some may need only a plan for action. Do put your properties each in a separate LLC though.
One last thought. I bought my best properties in the mid to late 80s as we were just coming out of the interest rate mess. I bought when everyone just knew that real estate was a bad investment and the party was long over. I was able to negotiate prices and terms because the sellers were desperate.