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Chamois16
28 Comments
GE, Microsoft on New Low List [view article]
I think we may be underestimating GE's infrastructure position, which transcends the "green" idea. They have fielded 9000 1.5MW windturbines at $3.3M per to date, and the order backlog is growing, but they also build world class gas turbines (series 7 and 9) for utilities, have arguably the best new reactor technology in the ESBWR and dominate the transportation market with aircraft engins, pipeline flow compressors, shipboard propulsion turbines and locomotives. The financing unit is synergistic in enabling the sales of the big ticket items, some of which exceed $100MM each. I think the household appliance business is on the way out and maybe aircraft leasing. I am starting a position here at $30-31, despite six sigma and the past mistakes. Jun 11 01:17 PMCurrency, Precious Metal and Futures ETFs: Don't Get Caught in the Tax Trap [view article]
Purely a nitpick, but ETF are not mutual funds. From the SEC:"There are some investment companies, known as exchange-traded funds or ETFs, which are legally classified as open-end companies or UITs. ETFs differ from traditional open-end companies and UITs, because, pursuant to SEC exemptive orders, shares issued by ETFs trade on a secondary market and are only redeemable in very large blocks (blocks of 50,000 shares for example). ETFs are not considered to be, and are not permitted to call themselves, mutual funds." May 11 08:35 AM
Can Eaton Vance's Tax-Advantaged Dividend Fund Sustain Its Yield? [view article]
Correction to the above. The distributions are from investment income, not ROC or capital gains. May 03 04:45 PMCan Eaton Vance's Tax-Advantaged Dividend Fund Sustain Its Yield? [view article]
Lots of bad info here. EVT is a dividend capture fund, the additional dividends providing the extra yield. It doesn't do options. It is a levered fund along with its cohorts ETG and ETO which just switched to bankd debt from APS. There is no reason tp believe that this will cost significantly more than default APS rates resulting from failed auctions. Many CEF use debt rather than preferred shares, even before the APS problem. EVT distributions to date are entirely from earned invested income and are 15% qdiThe original poster apparently missed the capture strategy and subsequent posters have confused EVT with other funds May 03 04:42 PM
Understanding Closed-End Funds [view article]
Sorry for the PS, but my response was truncated. The point was that if one is going to give a tutorial on "understanding closed-end funds," why not accurately make the distinction? With the explosion of "managed index" ETF, financial advisors who fail to make the important distinctions among investment vehicles and the difficulty in understanding why CEF prices, unlike those of mutual funds, stray significantly, and for good reason, from NAVs, investors have enough problem reconciling the conflicting statements by experts in the field. JMO as always Nov 22 10:16 AMUnderstanding Closed-End Funds [view article]
Closed end funds,,as you say, are like mutual funds in many ways, but they are not mutual funds. Here's one clip from sec.govMutual Funds
A mutual fund is a company that pools money from many investors and invests the money in stocks, bonds, short-term money-market instruments, or other securities. Legally known as an "open-end company," a mutual fund is one of three basic types of investment company. The two other basic types are closed-end funds and Unit Investment Trusts (UITs).
There are enough differences within the ICA 1940, to mse the distinction worthwhile. Nov 22 10:02 AM
Understanding Closed-End Funds [view article]
It seems like someone who has worked in the field would know that closed-end funds are not mutual funds. The misuse of the term destroys the validity of whatever point is being made."Closed-End Funds
"A "closed-end fund," legally known as a "closed-end company," is one of three basic types of investment company. The two other basic types of investment companies are mutual funds and unit investments trusts (UITs)." -sec.gov Oct 22 09:21 PM
Is China Headed for a 1929-Style Market Crash? [view article]
I have to agree that an article which suggests a world class market crash may be imminent and instead of saying why, focuses on the 19bp number v. some other, seems a waste of space. Why not at a miimum acknowledge that the deposit rate was rased more than the lending rate which, even though slight, is a small incentive to savings and a small squeeze on margins.Why not discuss the heavy investments into infrastructure, such as nuclear power and railroad tracks, that will promote the conversion of an export economy to local consumption. The Shanghai and Shenzhen markets may be overbought, but not on the scale of 1929 and the earmarks of equivalent recession are missing. May 21 12:52 PM
What Readers Say About Seeking Alpha [view article]
I submit that your site is losing investor interest because too many of your most frequent posters have little of substance to say. They post simplistic opinions with few rationale on the issues de jour, apparently just to be heard. If this site is an adverising medium for advisors, fine. May 19 06:30 PMImplications of a China Crash [view article]
This thread seems mistitled. There is no rationale presented for a China crash and no argument made for any particular consequence, should one occur . I can find no "implications.&qu... The U or V issue seems trivial in the absence of magnitude, for reasons cited in earlier commentsThe PRC mainland markets may well be seriously overbought, and that may bring pain to local speculators, but the economy, in absence of persuasive rationale, seems sustainable through the Olympics and beyond. The Government has established infrastructure, such as state owned funds and QDII destination expansion, to support where and when needed.
The PRC challenge is to shift to a domestic consumption-based economy before there are more serious problems among the importing nations. May 19 10:58 AM
Converting Closed-End Funds to ETFs: Has the Trend Begun? [view article]
There seems to be a prevailing view here that discounts for closed-end funds are somehow undesirable. The discount is te natural investor offset to the fund's fees, adjusted for the liquidity of the CEF portfolio. Iow, plain vanilla equity CEF deserve a higher discount than bond or more sphisticated portfolio holdings such as syndicated loans and derivatives. The issue ought not be the discount, but the extent of excursions from it which imply CEF investor sentiment different from that of the broader market.The prinicpal disadvantage of CEF is their low daily trading volumes, which limit their utility for larger investors. Otoh, there are many offsetting advantages, such as leverage, hugher yields and freedom from cash drag, which make CEF attractive to average retail investors.
The reasons why CEF managers would want to convert to ETF on a large scale are certainly not clear, nor is the rationale which might be persuasive to CEF investors. May 18 09:21 AM
US Investors Not Feeling the Chinese Stock Market Sizzle [view article]
Using YTD data for closed end funds can be quite misleading if CEF dynamics are not understood. These CEF paid out large cap gains distribution at yearend, causing the NAV to drop precipitously and putting the market prices ata momentary high premium. These conditions qickly corrected in the new yearand and market prices in January, reflecting the distribution went to more noraml discounts, Since that time, the performance ofmarket prices and NAV have more closely followed the indexes they represent.More fundamentally, there is a major performance distinction between A&B share mainland markets and HK. CAF, as the example, marches to a different drummer than the other China CEF, even if that drummer may potentially be out of control.
As long as these PRC markets are growing rapidly, I think it is wrong to discount the utility of ETF and CEF as vehicles, CEF, for example, must recognize harvested capital gains through distribution, reducing future market risk associated with ownership. May 09 12:08 PM
New ETF Will Track Natural Gas Price [view article]
The way I read the prospectus, it is a commodity limited partnership and not an ETF. An ETF according to the SEC is an open-end investment company regulated by ICA 1940. The UNG prospectus say it is not an investment company and not subject to the ICA."USNG is not a mutual fund registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and is not subject to regulation under such Act." Apr 19 09:53 AM
Natural Gas ETF Launches; A Natural Gas Primer [view article]
How can UNG be considered an ETF, which by SEC definition is an open-end investment company regulated by The Investment Company Act 1940, when the prospectus says otherwise:?USNG is not a mutual fund registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and is not subject to regulation under such Act." Apr 19 09:30 AM
Emerging Markets ETFs: Predictable and Consistent [view article]
Volatility, common to emerging markets, is not a reason to exclude individual securities, including ETF; longer term performance of all these funds you mention, with the possible exception of PGJ, which at best is a managed fund in drag, exceeds that of most developed markets. They had become overbought, but still represent long term value, particularly after correctionExcess volatility at the portfolio level is to be avoided since it represents risk, but a properly diversified portfolio will handle, and benefit from, emerging market stocks and index funds. Feb 28 01:26 PM