Pauly B

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    • Sun Nov 30th 08:50 AM
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      Rating: +2 0
      Commented on:
      U.S. Stocks Look Like They're Still Headed Lower
      The market is discounting alot of bad news, but put buying remains high, and any single piece of good news sends the markets flying. Extremely difficult to trade or invest even for the most seasoned. Im staying out of the way for awhile.

      Company Earnings, Company investments, IPOs, and jobs numbers improvements are lagging indicators of a bottom The big question remaining will the government stimulus packages really do anything? So far I dont see it nor do I see any improvement in the above.
      View article »
    • Thu Nov 27th 08:38 AM
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      Rating: +3 0
      Commented on:
      Stocks: Is the Tide Turning?
      Ok to nibble, some great buys out there for sure. However I don't see anything positive out there to cheer about, housing, autos, jobs numbers, consumer spending, and so on.

      Second it is unclear to me how this gargantuan world bailout by the countries involved will even work. As an individual I can't spend my way out of debt why should governements.
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    • Tue Nov 25th 10:18 AM
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      Rating: +1 0
      Commented on:
      Can Stocks Continue to Pop?
      When I see the first indication of jobs numbers, consumer confidence, credit markets, home sales, and the auto mess cleaned up, then I will believe any breakthrough of resistance on a chart.

      Right now its who's balance sheets will hold up in the coming quarters.

      With the VIX at historic levels everything changes on a wim.
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    • Sun Nov 9th 09:43 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Is Jim Cramer Right? Is Apple Really a Market Barometer?
      For me the only two correlations I follow are Jobs numbers and Total Earnings by the S& P. Jobs and earnings down, market down, Jobs and earnings up, market up. They have proved accurate for me and I dont find a single stock predictive but it is an interesting discussion.
      View article »
    • Sat Oct 25th 09:18 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      How To Profit From Continued Market Downturn
      I use FRO's (binary) or Fixed Return Options in this environment. They finish high or finish low. As long as you finish on the right side and place your bet far enough out your fine. 100 bucks profit for each contract right. Down side if your wrong you loose your 100 bucks and not as profitable as other plays but in this environment it works for me.

      Plus side No Theta decay, no Vega issues, European style expiration, and you just break even if you throw a condor type play because one side is going to be right. I agree with others covered calls are great but the volatility is just too high in the SPX and RUT for my risk tolerance.
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    • Fri Oct 24th 08:28 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Too Early to Call a Bottom - Buying Anyway
      I agree Pangaea, The bottom will be in when there is a nice candlestick hammer or morning star formation on the Weekly S&P and the monthly long term shows an up-trend.

      How these people on CNBC can claim a bottom without evidence is beyond me.
      View article »
    • Thu Oct 23rd 08:36 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Five Ways the Global Economy Is Rebounding
      The 800 pound gorilla in the room yet is home prices. There are there are still huge pockets of real-estate in distress with increasing foreclosures. Second, in 2009 jobless numbers will increase even more.

      Even with what you lay out it is going to take along time before anything positive happens.
      View article »
    • Sat Oct 11th 11:33 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Jim Rogers Speaks Out - Where Is He Putting His Money?
      Based on the video with Jim Rogers the US Government did the right thing in 1929-1930"s. Not save anything. Rather than saving banks then, they just created larger government to care for its citizens. Maybe rather than bailouts we have a national soup line program so every city has a soup line and no one goes hungry.
      View article »
    • Sat Oct 11th 11:14 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      2008 Price Targets Higher Than Mt. Everest
      This just goes to show the rating agencies are completely broke, there is no transparency, and one cannot believe what is on a banks balance sheet. These wouldn't have had the price targets if the rating agencies were not hand in hand with the banks.
      View article »
    • Fri Oct 10th 08:34 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Psyching Up To Buy At Maximum Pessimism Levels
      No one can call an exact bottom and I dont disagree that stocks are undervalued and some are cheap but why these experts say buy when the freight train is headed right for you I will never understand? Give me two months of relative calm in the markets and improvement in key economic fundamentals and then I will consider it.
      View article »
    • Tue Oct 7th 09:07 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      John Hussman: Depression Fear Mongering 'Ridiculous'
      The stock market is only a side show. The real problem is in the credit markets and I dont see anything improving there.

      By next October we should see 9-10 % unemployment and a box of cereal costing 6 bucks. Earnings are going to be pathetic in the coming quarters.
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    • Sun Oct 5th 08:20 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Now's the Time to Buy Bank Stocks
      This article is pure lunacy. The market is almost broken. Now if I saw one centilia of improvement in jobs, housing appreciation, and purchases by businesses and individuals I might take the chance and buy some financials.

      The biggest danger lurking is if this so called bailout bill doesnt work what will happen? The market is already pricing that into the equation now.

      I think someone once told me never call a bottom, ummm, I think thats pretty good advice.
      View article »
    • Fri Oct 3rd 08:26 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Why the Bailout Cannot Solve a Thing: Nobody Is Blaming the Right Culprit
      The base cause of this is greed. It infected every part of the capital system whether it be homeowners, politicians, banks, rating agencies, and regulators. We have all experienced the ugly side of capitalism and now we need to fix it.

      This contraction is going to be brutal and humbling. Dr Enzio I like your point of accountability of holding German bankers accountable and this should be applicable here in the states. My other question where were the board of directors on these investment decisions by these CEO's of these banks?

      View article »
    • Thu Oct 2nd 08:40 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Even With the Bailout, We Won't Find an Immediate Bottom
      Great article.

      We need more than a bailout we need stimulus. With all the trillions sitting on the sidelines in markets around the world what would happen if they cut cooperate, capital gains, and individual taxes? Answer:

      You would have money pouring back into equities and revenues increasing in the treasury and businesses expanding. I think its a trade those sitting in cash would make.

      This bill not only will hit us in taxes but at the grocery store too.
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    • Mon Sep 29th 08:49 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Assets and Capital: The Two Major Issues in this Crisis
      As William F Buckley said once, "If I were to be judged I would take the first 500 people out of the Boston phone book to judge me rather than the first 500 out of any Ivy League school. These Ivy league hotshots on Wallstreet and in Congress ruined it for all of us.

      I am out on main street, pay my bills, balance my checkbook, put 20% down on my first home, and keep within my within my budget. I question what the heck happened to my country.

      With the printing presses now running our currency will take a nose dive, and counter-party risk is gone. The next bailouts will be commercial loans and credit cards. Oh ya, I forgot, price controls are the next likely solution.
      View article »